Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.5 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Rachaad White to earn 16.4 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White has been a more important option in his team's run game this season (59.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.7%).

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Rachaad White's rushing efficiency (3.01 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (20th percentile when it comes to RBs).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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