Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to total 15.6 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (53.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (35.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Rachaad White's running efficiency (3.57 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (5th percentile among RBs).
Rachaad White has been among the worst RBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.29 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 3rd percentile.
The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.