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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects Rachaad White to accrue 15.7 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Rachaad White has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (57.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (33.7%).
  • Rachaad White's 47.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a significant progression in his running prowess over last season's 30.0 mark.
  • This year, the anemic Indianapolis Colts run defense has yielded a whopping 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 6th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to opening holes for runners (and the importance it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.
  • With a very bad tally of 3.31 adjusted yards per carry (12th percentile) this year, Rachaad White places among the bottom pure runners in football at the position.

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