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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rachaad White Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Rachaad White is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

With a stellar 3.8 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, Rachaad White stands among the top RB receiving threats in football.

Rachaad White rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among running backs, completing an impressive 93.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

Rachaad White's 52.0% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a meaningful regression in his passing game usage over last season's 70.6% figure.

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