My Account Log Out
 
 
Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.2% pass rate.
  • In this week's game, Rachaad White is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 94th percentile among running backs with 4.0 targets.
  • The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • With an impressive 4.1 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Rachaad White rates as one of the best RBs in the pass game in the NFL.
  • Rachaad White has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, completing an excellent 93.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Rachaad White's 53.6% Route Participation Rate this season reflects an impressive decline in his passing game workload over last season's 70.6% figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™