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Rachaad White
NFL · Player Props
Rachaad White
RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receptions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 16, 2023 3:01 AM EST
NFL Props Rachaad White Receptions

Rachaad White Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

Favors Over
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Rachaad White's 70.5% Route% this year conveys a a material improvement in his passing attack usage over last year's 32.7% mark.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rachaad White to accrue 3.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
Favors Under
  • The Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The projections expect the Buccaneers as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.2 per game on average).
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Lions defense has yielded a meager 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
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