Rachaad White Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rachaad White's 68.6% Route% this year reflects a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 32.7% figure.
This week, Rachaad White is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.9 targets.
Rachaad White's 35.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 19.0 figure.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
Rachaad White has accumulated a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among running backs.
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Rachaad White places as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the NFL in space.
The Colts pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78%) versus running backs this year (78.0%).

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