Rachaad White Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.5 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Rachaad White to earn 16.4 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White has been a more important option in his team's run game this season (59.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.7%).

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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