Quintin Morris Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1718/-2339).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 2nd-most receiving touchdowns in the league to TEs: 0.80 per game since the start of last season.
Favors Under
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Quintin Morris has been not been very involved his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile among TEs.
Quintin Morris's 4.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the worst in the NFL: 23rd percentile for tight ends.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 32nd-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.