Quintin Morris Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Quintin Morris

NFL · Player Props

Quintin Morris

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Quintin Morris Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2244/-3474).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 58.9% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Since the start of last season, the strong New England Patriots run defense has given up a measly 0.58 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 126.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Quintin Morris rates in just the 23rd percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a poor 4.6 figure since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the formidable New England Patriots defense has yielded a paltry 0.32 passing touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in football.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New England's group of DTs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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