Quintin Morris Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Quintin Morris

NFL · Player Props

Quintin Morris

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Quintin Morris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 58.9% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.2%) to TEs since the start of last season (77.2%).

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 126.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
With a bottom-tier 2.3% Target% (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Quintin Morris stands among the TEs with the most usage in football.
Quintin Morris checks in as one of the bottom pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging just 0.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 8th percentile among TEs.
The New England Patriots safeties project as the 10th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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