Quez Watkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+154/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Quez Watkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 71.3% to 79.1%.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends rank as the 7th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Quez Watkins has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this season (6.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.8%).
Quez Watkins has been among the worst WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 1.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among wide receivers.

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