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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+154/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 71.3% to 79.1%.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends rank as the 7th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Quez Watkins has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this season (6.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.8%).
  • Quez Watkins has been among the worst WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 1.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among wide receivers.

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