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Quez Watkins
NFL · Player Props
Quez Watkins
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Receiving TD
Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Quez Watkins Receiving TD

Quez Watkins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+366/-733).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +390 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +366.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (14.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.5% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 67.0% to 77.1%.
Favors Under
  • The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Quez Watkins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
  • Quez Watkins's 19.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 36.1.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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