Quentin Johnston Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Quentin Johnston

NFL · Player Props

Quentin Johnston

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:57 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Johnston Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+426/-456).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are enormous -7.5-point underdogs.
While Quentin Johnston has earned 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's offense near the end zone this week at 18.6%.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
With a 51.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league in these cases has been the Chargers.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Chargers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Quentin Johnston has accrued far fewer air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
Quentin Johnston's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 46.9.

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