My Account Log Out

reorder

Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Right now, the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Chicago Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's group of safeties has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Chargers are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Quentin Johnston is positioned as one of the worst WRs in the league this year, averaging just 1.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among wideouts.

With a poor 48.4% Adjusted Completion% (17th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston places among the most unreliable receivers in football among wideouts.

More Quentin Johnston Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™