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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • While Quentin Johnston has been responsible for 7.9% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's passing attack in this week's contest at 13.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to tilt 2.2% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • With a subpar 11.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (17th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL in the league.
  • Quentin Johnston has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 51.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile among WRs
  • With a bad 4.1 adjusted yards per target (12th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston ranks among the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

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