Puka Nacua Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Puka Nacua

NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-164).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 127.8 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
While Puka Nacua has garnered 17.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's passing offense near the goal line this week at 27.6%.
In regards to air yards, Puka Nacua grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 93.0 per game.
Puka Nacua slots into the 94th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 67.1 figure since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a measly 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
The Eagles defense has given up the 2nd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.50 per game since the start of last season.

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