Puka Nacua Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Puka Nacua

NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-117/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 58.9% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Rams this year (a whopping 64.6 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
The model projects Puka Nacua to accrue 11.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Rams are a giant 12.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.
Puka Nacua's 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a material regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 80.9% rate.
The Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.3%) vs. WRs this year (56.3%).

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