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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Puka Nacua to earn 9.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a feeble 60.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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