Puka Nacua Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 92.5 (+104/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 93.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 92.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 58.9% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Rams this year (a whopping 64.6 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
The model projects Puka Nacua to accrue 11.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Rams are a giant 12.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.
Puka Nacua's 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a material regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 80.9% rate.
Puka Nacua's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 7.71 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.64 mark last season.
The Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.3%) vs. WRs this year (56.3%).