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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.0 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects Puka Nacua to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game in this week's contest (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.3% in games he has played).

In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

This year, the daunting Vikings pass defense has given up the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 3.3 YAC.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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