Puka Nacua Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Puka Nacua

NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.4 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
The leading projections forecast Puka Nacua to earn 8.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Rams to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
While Puka Nacua has accounted for 32.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's passing attack this week at 26.0%.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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