Puka Nacua Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Puka Nacua

NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:26 AM EST

Analysis

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
The predictive model expects Puka Nacua to notch 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
With a sizeable 32.3% Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.
When it comes to air yards, Puka Nacua grades out in the towering 89th percentile among wideouts this year, accruing an astounding 94.0 per game.
Puka Nacua has been one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 91.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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