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P.J. Walker

P.J. Walker TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
P.J. Walker TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Panthers are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.
  • Phillip Walker has been among the least on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a 56.7% Completion%, ranking in the 18th percentile.
  • Phillip Walker has been among the bottom touchdown passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a paltry 0.14 per game while ranking in the 19th percentile.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the league against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (66.0%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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