P.J. Walker Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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P.J. Walker

NFL · Player Props

P.J. Walker

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

P.J. Walker Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 191.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 189.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 191.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Phillip Walker's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 53.0% to 61.1%.
Phillip Walker's throwing efficiency has gotten a boost this year, compiling 7.04 yards-per-target compared to just 5.69 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Phillip Walker to attempt 32.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.

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