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Phillip Dorsett

Phillip Dorsett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

Phillip Dorsett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+337/-639).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +427 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +337.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Phillip Dorsett to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (16.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.

Phillip Dorsett has compiled far fewer air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).

Phillip Dorsett has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 35.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 8th percentile among wideouts

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (55.6%) to wide receivers this year (55.6%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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