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Pharaoh Brown

Pharaoh Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Houston Texans

Pharaoh Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Pharaoh Brown has been on the field for 65.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

Pharaoh Brown's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.1% to 78.4%.

Pharaoh Brown's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, compiling 8.28 yards-per-target vs just 4.95 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.

The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 34.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (64.7%).

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