Pharaoh Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Pharaoh Brown

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Pharaoh Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
Pharaoh Brown has played on 64.6% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Pharaoh Brown has been among the worst pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile among TEs.
Pharaoh Brown has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a mere 5.30 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 37.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.