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Pharaoh Brown

Pharaoh Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Pharaoh Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
  • Pharaoh Brown has played on 64.6% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Pharaoh Brown has been among the worst pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile among TEs.
  • Pharaoh Brown has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a mere 5.30 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 37.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.

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