Patrick Taylor Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Patrick Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Taylor

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Patrick Taylor's 35.7% Route Participation% this season signifies a noteable growth in his passing offense utilization over last season's 5.6% rate.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
With a bad 59.5% Adjusted Catch% (9th percentile) this year, Patrick Taylor has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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