Patrick Mahomes TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 21

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

TD Passes

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 21, 2022

Updated Jan 29, 2023 10:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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