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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Rushing Yards
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Patrick Mahomes isn't afraid to run the ball, comprising 14.7% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • The Kansas City offensive line ranks as the best in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks an impressive boost in his rushing talent over last year's 21.0 mark.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 8.07 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates a material improvement in his rushing prowess over last year's 7.01 rate.
Favors Under
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 38.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • This year, the anemic New England Patriots run defense has been gouged for a staggering 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 31st-biggest rate in the league.
  • The Patriots safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
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