Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Pass Attempts

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/+104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 52.9% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.10 seconds per play) will boast the 4th-fastest tempo on the slate this week.
In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.5.

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