Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Pass Attempts

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the predictive model to total the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

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