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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Pass Attempts
Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022 Updated Feb 13, 2023 12:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -102.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Patrick Mahomes has attempted 40.2 passes per game this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Favors Under
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: least in the league.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a lowly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone for it on 4th down a mere 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
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