Patrick Mahomes Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Interceptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 42.5.
In tallying a whopping 1.07 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes rates among the worst quarterbacks in the NFL (11th percentile).

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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