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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the predictive model to total the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

In racking up a massive 0.89 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes slots in among the bottom quarterbacks in football (16th percentile).

The Patriots have intercepted 0.56 passes per game this year, grading out as the 6th-worst defense in the league by this standard

The New England cornerbacks project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

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