Patrick Mahomes Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Interceptions

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Patrick Mahomes to throw 38.5 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
The Green Bay Packers have intercepted 0.46 balls per game this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst defense in the NFL by this statistic

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.
At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
The Packers cornerbacks project as the 9th-best group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

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