My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the projection model to have the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.0.

In tallying a colossal 0.98 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes slots in among the weakest quarterbacks in football (18th percentile).

The Raiders safeties project as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.96 passes per game this year, grading out as the 10th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™