My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+127/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +149 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line has afforded their QB 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.3 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all QBs.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™