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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-126/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

In this game, Patrick Mahomes is anticipated by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.9.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

This year, the stout Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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