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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Completions
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Completions

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the model to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.2.
  • Patrick Mahomes is positioned as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with an impressive 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 84th percentile.
  • This year, the porous Broncos defense has conceded a staggering 81.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the largest rate in football.
  • The Broncos linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.
Favors Under
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.
More Patrick Mahomes Props Data by WriteNow™
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