Patrick Mahomes Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Completions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of CBs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

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