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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to have the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.4.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 41.3 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • With an impressive 68.5% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Patrick Mahomes has been among the most on-target passers in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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