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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In totaling a monstrous 4.2 carries per game this year, Patrick Mahomes stands among the top QBs in football (90th percentile) in regards to running workload.

After taking on 9.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 22.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Detroit's collection of DEs has been very good this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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