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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the model to call 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a whopping 61.0 per game on average).

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been awful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least run-heavy offense in the NFL (35.4% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this year (8.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (15.6%).

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