Patrick Mahomes Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to total 3.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Comprising 14.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year (80th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Patrick Mahomes's mobility marks him as a major threat in Kansas City's rushing attack.
In regards to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in football last year.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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