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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to notch 4.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

Accounting for 15.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year (82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Patrick Mahomes's mobility marks him as a serious threat in Kansas City's rushing attack.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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