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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Carries
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:51 AM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Carries

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to notch 4.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Accounting for 15.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year (82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Patrick Mahomes's mobility marks him as a serious threat in Kansas City's rushing attack.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
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