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Pat Freiermuth
NFL · Player Props
Pat Freiermuth
TE · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receptions
Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Pat Freiermuth Receptions

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate.
  • The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Pat Freiermuth to accrue 5.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.8% to 58.7%.
More Pat Freiermuth Props Data by WriteNow™
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