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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Pat Freiermuth to accrue 4.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 64.5% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 67.8% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

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