Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Pat Freiermuth

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 9, 2026 1:47 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-112/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
The model projects the Steelers offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.48 seconds per snap.
Pat Freiermuth has gone out for fewer passes this year (70.4% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (55.7%).
In this contest, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.0 targets.
After accumulating 20.0 air yards per game last year, Pat Freiermuth has shown good development this year, currently pacing 42.0 per game.

Favors Under

With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth has been as one of the top TE receiving threats in the NFL in space.